Hurricane EMILY

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2005
 
...EYEWALL OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE EMILY
POUNDING COZUMEL...CENTER ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO
CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. 
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.  A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES... 40 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 170
MILES... 275 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF EMILY HAS PASSED JUST TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL...AND WILL BE ONSHORE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. 
EMILY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EMILY IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS EMILY MOVES OVER NORTHERN
YUCATAN THIS MORNING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
IN MEXICO.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES.
LESSER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...20.3 N... 87.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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