Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Parts of the U.S. Government are closed. However, because the information this site provides is necessary to protect life and property, it will be updated and maintained during the Federal Government shutdown. For critical weather information, please visit www.weather.gov. To learn more, see www.commerce.gov.

Tropical Storm ARLENE


ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...ARELENE BECOMES SOMEWHAT LESS ORGANIZED...CONTINUING
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.....INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 
130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
AND ABOUT  170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED TODAY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OR ARLENE NEAR
OR OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
ARLENE HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL POTENTIAL FOR ARLENE TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  A NOAA AUTOMATED STATION
SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
46 MPH WITH A GUST TO 69 MPH.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE SOUTHEAST...THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND INTO
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.4 N... 87.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
$$
NNNN