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Tropical Storm ARLENE


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005

...ARLENE SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS 
WESTERN CUBA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FRIDAY MORNING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
EARLY FRIDAY. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH 
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MAINLY AFTER
THE CENTER MOVES NORTH OF CUBA AND OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL CONTINUE 
TO SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...20.8 N... 84.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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