Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005

...MOST OF THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE ALREADY AFFECTING
CUBA...SQUALLS GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTHWARD... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST
OR ABOUT  115 MILES... 180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY
ARRIVING WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.  A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
MODEST STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.  

SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...20.2 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
  
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