Tropical Storm ALPHA
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED OCT 26 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 73.5W 43 5 X X 48 MYMM 224N 730W 80 X X X 80
31.5N 71.0W X 20 X X 20 MYSM 241N 745W 53 X X X 53
MTPP 186N 724W 43 X X X 43 MYEG 235N 758W 28 X X X 28
MUGM 200N 751W 4 X X X 4 MYAK 241N 776W 2 1 X X 3
MBJT 215N 712W 18 X X X 18 MYNN 251N 775W 3 1 X X 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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