Tropical Storm ALPHA
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM ALPHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT WED OCT 26 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.3N 73.5W 56 5 X X 61 MDPP 198N 707W 74 X X X 74
28.0N 73.5W X 38 X X 38 MBJT 215N 712W 41 X X X 41
MDSD 185N 697W 99 X X X 99 MYMM 224N 730W 64 1 X X 65
MDCB 176N 714W 99 X X X 99 MYSM 241N 745W 38 15 X X 53
MTPP 186N 724W 80 X X X 80 MYEG 235N 758W 14 11 X X 25
MTCA 183N 738W 8 X X X 8 MYNN 251N 775W X 3 X X 3
MUGM 200N 751W 8 X X X 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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