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Tropical Storm ALPHA

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.8N  71.8W      57  X  X  X 57   MYMM 224N 730W    21 20  X  X 41
23.6N  71.9W       5 33  4  X 42   MYSM 241N 745W     X 19  5  X 24
28.5N  70.5W       X  X 27  3 30   MYEG 235N 758W     X  5  1  X  6
MDSD 185N 697W    86  X  X  X 86   BERMUDA            X  X  X 20 20
MDCB 176N 714W    43  X  X  X 43   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W    36  1  X  X 37   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W     3  1  X  X  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     1  2  X  X  3   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W    69  X  X  X 69   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    44  3  X  X 47
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
 
 
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