Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL CCA
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1...CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

...CORRECTED BIN NUMBER...BIN 4 INSTEAD OF 3... 

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.5N  80.0W      58  X  X  X 58   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2  7  9
17.5N  80.5W      43  X  X  X 43   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2  9 11
17.5N  81.0W      29  1  1  1 32   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  8  9
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  3  6 11   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W    57  X  X  X 57   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  7  9
MWCG 193N 814W    14  6  2  3 25   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  1  5  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     1  2  2  4  9   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  3  4  5 12   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2  6  7 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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