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Hurricane RITA


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.7N  88.7W      41  X  X  X 41   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  4  9 13
25.2N  90.8W      20  8  1  X 29   GALVESTON TX       X  X  6  8 14
25.9N  92.8W       2 18  3  1 24   FREEPORT TX        X  X  6  9 15
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  6  8   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  6  9 15
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  1  4  5   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  5  9 14
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  7  7 14
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  1  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  1  3  5
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       2  7  3  2 14
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 91W       X 10  5  3 18
GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  5 10  4 19
BURAS LA           X  1  4  5 10   GULF 28N 95W       X  1 11  5 17
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  3  6  9   GULF 27N 96W       X  1 11  5 17
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  4  8 12   GULF 25N 96W       X  3  9  4 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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