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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
48.8N  53.4W      22  6  1  X 29   SYDNEY NS         57  X  X  X 57
50.6N  47.0W       X 14  4  X 18   EDDY POINT NS     68  X  X  X 68
52.2N  40.5W       X  1  9  3 13   PTX BASQUES NFLD  40  X  X  X 40
MONCTON NB         2  X  X  X  2   BURGEO NFLD       42  X  X  X 42
YARMOUTH NS       99  X  X  X 99   ILE ST PIERRE     38  X  X  X 38
HALIFAX NS        99  X  X  X 99   CAPE RACE NFLD    17  6  X  X 23
SABLE ISLAND NS   29  X  X  X 29   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X 13  2  X 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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