Hurricane OPHELIA
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON SEP 19 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
43.5N 65.5W 19 5 X X 24 MONCTON NB 5 14 X 1 20
46.5N 60.0W X 13 3 X 16 YARMOUTH NS 20 4 X X 24
48.7N 53.8W X X 9 2 11 HALIFAX NS 5 16 X X 21
MONTAUK POINT NY 10 X X X 10 SABLE ISLAND NS X 12 2 X 14
PROVIDENCE RI 11 X X X 11 SYDNEY NS X 13 3 X 16
NANTUCKET MA 38 X X X 38 EDDY POINT NS X 16 2 X 18
HYANNIS MA 29 X X X 29 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 9 6 X 15
BOSTON MA 10 X X X 10 BURGEO NFLD X 5 8 1 14
PORTLAND ME 7 1 X X 8 ILE ST PIERRE X 3 9 1 13
BAR HARBOR ME 16 1 1 X 18 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 8 2 10
EASTPORT ME 16 4 X X 20 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X 2 6 8
ST JOHN NB 12 9 X X 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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