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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON SEP 19 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
41.6N  68.5W      16  5  X  X 21   EASTPORT ME        1 14  X  X 15
45.2N  63.6W       X 10  3  1 14   ST JOHN NB         X 14  X  X 14
48.0N  57.3W       X  X  8  2 10   MONCTON NB         X 11  2  1 14
OCEAN CITY MD      5  X  X  X  5   YARMOUTH NS        1 14  1  X 16
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   7  X  X  X  7   HALIFAX NS         X 10  3  X 13
NEW YORK CITY NY  11  X  X  X 11   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  2  7  1 10
MONTAUK POINT NY  25  X  X  X 25   SYDNEY NS          X  3  8  X 11
PROVIDENCE RI     22  X  X  X 22   EDDY POINT NS      X  5  6  1 12
NANTUCKET MA      25  X  X  X 25   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  1  9  1 11
HYANNIS MA        23  X  X  X 23   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  8  2 10
BOSTON MA         18  1  X  X 19   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  6  4 10
PORTLAND ME       10  4  1  X 15   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  2  7  9
BAR HARBOR ME      4 11  X  X 15   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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