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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.2N  73.0W      29  5  X  X 34   BAR HARBOR ME      X  1 12  2 15
40.0N  70.4W       1 19  3  1 24   EASTPORT ME        X  X 11  3 14
43.0N  67.0W       X  1 14  2 17   ST JOHN NB         X  X  8  6 14
MOREHEAD CITY NC  12  2  X  X 14   MONCTON NB         X  X  5  7 12
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X 12  3 15
NORFOLK VA        17  3  X  X 20   HALIFAX NS         X  X  6  7 13
OCEAN CITY MD     16  7  X  X 23   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1  9 10
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   7 13  X  1 21   SYDNEY NS          X  X  1  9 10
NEW YORK CITY NY   2 15  2  X 19   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  2  9 11
MONTAUK POINT NY   1 16  4  X 21   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  9  9
PROVIDENCE RI      X 13  7  X 20   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  9  9
NANTUCKET MA       X 13  8  X 21   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  8  8
HYANNIS MA         X 12  8  1 21   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  6  6
BOSTON MA          X  9  9  X 18   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  3  3
PORTLAND ME        X  3 11  2 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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