Hurricane OPHELIA
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.3N 77.7W 99 X X X 99 MOREHEAD CITY NC 9 6 3 2 20
33.0N 77.7W 46 X X X 46 CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 6 5 4 17
33.9N 77.4W 21 2 1 1 25 NORFOLK VA X 1 5 7 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 1 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 7 8
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 1 1 2 5 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA 5 5 2 2 14 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 15 3 2 1 21 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC 19 3 1 1 24 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC 15 4 2 1 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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