Hurricane OPHELIA
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HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.0N 76.0W 99 X X X 99 MOREHEAD CITY NC 9 6 2 2 19
32.2N 76.6W 99 X X X 99 CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 7 2 3 14
32.5N 77.5W 48 X X X 48 NORFOLK VA X 3 4 4 11
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 4 6
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 2 3 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 3 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 4 7 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X 1 3 4 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 4 6 FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4
FT PIERCE FL X X 3 4 7 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
COCOA BEACH FL X X 3 5 8 TAMPA FL X X 1 4 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 4 5 9 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 4 5
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 6 10 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA X 2 5 5 12 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 1 6 5 4 16 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 7 3 3 19 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC 10 6 2 2 20
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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