Hurricane OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  77.9W      33  1  X  1 35   SAVANNAH GA        2  2  2  5 11
31.0N  77.3W      18  4  2  1 25   CHARLESTON SC      5  4  3  3 15
31.0N  76.8W      10  7  3  2 22   MYRTLE BEACH SC    2  7  4  3 16
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  8  4  4 16
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  5  5  4 14
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  5  5 11
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  3  5  8
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  3  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2  5  7   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  3  6 10   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  4  5
MYGF 266N 787W     1  6  5  4 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2  5  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  2  5  7   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2  5  7
MIAMI FL           X  2  4  5 11   VENICE FL          X  X  1  5  6
W PALM BEACH FL    X  4  5  5 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  5  6
FT PIERCE FL       X  6  5  4 15   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5
COCOA BEACH FL     1  5  5  4 15   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   1  4  3  5 13   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    1  1  2  6 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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