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Tropical Storm OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.4N  79.6W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  6  8
29.9N  79.4W      67  X  X  X 67   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  4  5
30.0N  79.1W      56  X  X  X 56   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        X  1  X  5  6
MYGF 266N 787W     3  2  1  4 10   VENICE FL          X  1  1  5  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           2  2  2  4 10
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  4  5   CEDAR KEY FL       3  3  3  3 12
W PALM BEACH FL    4  1  1  4 10   ST MARKS FL        X  3  4  4 11
FT PIERCE FL      19  1  X  1 21   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  2  5  8
COCOA BEACH FL    45  X  X  X 45   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2  5  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL  29  1  X  X 30   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4
JACKSONVILLE FL   16  3  2  1 22   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        5  8  3  3 19   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      1  7  4  4 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2  5  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2  4  5 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
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