Tropical Storm OPHELIA
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.4N 79.6W 99 X X X 99 WILMINGTON NC X X 2 6 8
29.9N 79.4W 67 X X X 67 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5
30.0N 79.1W 56 X X X 56 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4 FT MYERS FL X 1 X 5 6
MYGF 266N 787W 3 2 1 4 10 VENICE FL X 1 1 5 7
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL 2 2 2 4 10
MIAMI FL X X 1 4 5 CEDAR KEY FL 3 3 3 3 12
W PALM BEACH FL 4 1 1 4 10 ST MARKS FL X 3 4 4 11
FT PIERCE FL 19 1 X 1 21 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 2 5 8
COCOA BEACH FL 45 X X X 45 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 5 7
DAYTONA BEACH FL 29 1 X X 30 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 3 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 16 3 2 1 22 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA 5 8 3 3 19 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC 1 7 4 4 16 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 5 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 2 4 5 11 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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