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Tropical Storm IRENE


ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 13 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE AUG 16 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.5N  70.0W      58  X  X  X 58   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  8 10
35.5N  69.4W       9 19  1  X 29   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  7  9
37.6N  68.4W       X  7 10  2 19   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  6  7
BERMUDA            X  X  2  2  4   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  2  1  4   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  2  4   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  5  2  7   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  4  4  8   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  3  5  8   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  3  6  9   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  7  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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