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Tropical Storm IRENE


ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 12 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG 15 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.4N  68.0W      74  X  X  X 74   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5
30.1N  69.1W      42  1  X  X 43   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  6  6
31.0N  70.1W      14 11  1  X 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  1  2  5  8   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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