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Hurricane EMILY


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HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.1N  84.4W      48  1  X  X 49   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  7  4 11
20.4N  87.7W       1 33  1  X 35   MMMD 210N 897W     X 17 12  X 29
21.6N  90.7W       X  6 20  1 27   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     6  X  X  X  6   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     6  X  X  X  6   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W    53  X  X  X 53   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  8  8
MUSN 216N 826W     9  3  X  X 12   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X 10 10
MUHA 230N 824W     1  1  X  X  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X 11 11
MUAN 219N 850W     3 22  X  X 25   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X 15 15
MMCZ 205N 869W     2 35  X  X 37   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  2  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X 10  2  X 12   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  5  6
MHNJ 165N 859W     2  1  X  X  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X 10 10
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X 13 13   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X 11 11
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X 12 12   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X 14 14
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X 10 10   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X 18 18
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  8  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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