Hurricane DENNIS
ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.5N 85.7W 50 X X X 50 CEDAR KEY FL 11 7 X X 18
29.8N 87.1W 4 30 X X 34 ST MARKS FL 4 20 X X 24
32.5N 88.5W X 4 21 X 25 APALACHICOLA FL 14 19 X X 33
MUHA 230N 824W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL 8 26 X X 34
MARATHON FL 15 X X X 15 PENSACOLA FL 1 30 1 X 32
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 X 1 2 MOBILE AL X 24 4 X 28
JACKSONVILLE FL X 2 1 1 4 GULFPORT MS X 19 5 X 24
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 3 4 BURAS LA X 15 2 X 17
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X 9 5 X 14
KEY WEST FL 75 X X X 75 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 3 1 5
MARCO ISLAND FL 19 X X X 19 GULF 29N 85W 31 8 X X 39
FT MYERS FL 17 X X X 17 GULF 29N 87W 17 20 X X 37
VENICE FL 28 X X 1 29 GULF 28N 89W 3 12 X X 15
TAMPA FL 16 1 X X 17 GULF 28N 91W X 1 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN