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Tropical Storm ARLENE


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.5N  88.5W      37  2  X  X 39   GULFPORT MS       50  X  X  X 50
35.5N  88.5W       3 29  3  X 35   BURAS LA          37  X  X  X 37
39.5N  86.5W       X  1 23  X 24   NEW ORLEANS LA    23  X  X  X 23
ST MARKS FL        1  1  X  X  2   NEW IBERIA LA      2  X  X  X  2
APALACHICOLA FL    7  1  X  X  8   GULF 29N 85W       7  X  X  X  7
PANAMA CITY FL    22  X  X  X 22   GULF 29N 87W      99  X  X  X 99
PENSACOLA FL      55  X  X  X 55   GULF 28N 89W      31  X  X  X 31
MOBILE AL         57  X  X  X 57
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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