Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON JUN 13 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.8N  87.3W      43  1  X  X 44   GULFPORT MS        9 23  X  X 32
31.1N  88.5W       5 27  X  X 32   BURAS LA          13 14  X  1 28
33.8N  88.8W       X 12 12  1 25   NEW ORLEANS LA     4 18  1  X 23
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  7  4  X 11
CEDAR KEY FL       1  X  X  1  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  1  1  2
ST MARKS FL        2  4  2  X  8   GULF 29N 85W      22  2  X  X 24
APALACHICOLA FL   12  5  1  X 18   GULF 29N 87W      41  2  X  X 43
PANAMA CITY FL    14  8  X  X 22   GULF 28N 89W      27  3  X  X 30
PENSACOLA FL      16 16  X  X 32   GULF 28N 91W       2  5  1  X  8
MOBILE AL         11 22  1  X 34
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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