Tropical Storm ARLENE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.0N  86.3W      41  2  X  X 43   PENSACOLA FL       X  8 12  1 21
27.7N  87.9W       2 31  X  X 33   MOBILE AL          X  9 14  1 24
30.5N  88.6W       X 12 12  1 25   GULFPORT MS        X 13 12  1 26
MUSN 216N 826W    19  X  X  X 19   BURAS LA           X 20  6  1 27
MUHA 230N 824W     5  1  X  X  6   NEW ORLEANS LA     X 12 11  1 24
MUAN 219N 850W    75  X  X  X 75   NEW IBERIA LA      X  4 10  2 16
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  3  3  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  2  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  5  6  1 12
TAMPA FL           X  X  1  1  2   GULF 29N 87W       X 20  4  1 25
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 89W       1 28  1  X 30
ST MARKS FL        X  X  4  4  8   GULF 28N 91W       X 11  5  1 17
APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  7  3 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  1  2  2  5
PANAMA CITY FL     X  3 10  2 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN