Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.8N  85.5W      43  X  X  X 43   ST MARKS FL        X  1 10  3 14
26.0N  86.5W       7 25  X  X 32   APALACHICOLA FL    X  4 12  2 18
28.5N  87.5W       X 13 13  X 26   PANAMA CITY FL     X  3 14  2 19
MUSN 216N 826W    27  X  X  X 27   PENSACOLA FL       X  2 16  3 21
MUHA 230N 824W    13  1  X  X 14   MOBILE AL          X  1 16  4 21
MUAN 219N 850W    60  X  X  X 60   GULFPORT MS        X  1 15  4 20
MMCZ 205N 869W     6  1  X  X  7   BURAS LA           X  1 16  3 20
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X 12  5 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  2  3   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  5  8 13
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  5  6   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  1  6  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  7 11  2 20
KEY WEST FL        1  2  X  1  4   GULF 29N 87W       X 10 14  1 25
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  2  X  1  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  8 13  1 22
FT MYERS FL        X  2  1  1  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  1 10  3 14
VENICE FL          X  3  3  1  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  2  5  7
TAMPA FL           X  2  3  2  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  6  3 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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