Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
1500Z SAT OCT 15 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.0N 102.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 11.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 11.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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