Hurricane KENNETH

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
0300Z SAT SEP 17 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 125.0W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  95SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 125.0W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 124.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.6N 126.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.0N 127.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 128.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.7N 129.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.3N 130.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 125.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN