Hurricane KENNETH

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HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
0900Z FRI SEP 16 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 122.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  50SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 122.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 122.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.2N 123.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.4N 127.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 15.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 16.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 122.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER MOLLEDA/FRANKLIN
 
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