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Hurricane HILARY


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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
0900Z WED AUG 24 2005
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 117.5W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 300SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 117.5W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 117.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.8N 118.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.6N 120.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.3N 121.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.8N 123.7W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.1N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N 135.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 117.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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