| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane HILARY (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
0900Z SUN AUG 21 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 105.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 105.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.7N 112.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 22.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
$$
NNNN