Hurricane FERNANDA

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TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
1500Z MON AUG 15 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 132.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 132.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 132.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.8N 133.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.4N 135.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.1N 137.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 14.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 132.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH
 
 
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