Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042005
0900Z MON JUL 04 2005

...CORRECTED TO REMOVE DISSIPATING AT 96 HR AND TO CHANGE REMNANT
LOW TO DISSIPATING AT 120 HR...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO
ZIHUATANEJO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO
PUNTA SEL TELMO.
 
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST WEST OF
PUNTA SEL TELMO LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  99.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 100.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.8N 101.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.7N 102.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 100.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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