Hurricane ADRIAN

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HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
0300Z FRI MAY 20 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DOWNGRADED THE
HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST
OF GUATEMALA EAST OF SIPICATE TO THE BORDER OF EL SALVADOR...AND
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SIPICATE WESTWARD TO THE
GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  89.6W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  89.6W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  90.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.4N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N  86.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.7N  84.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.2N  81.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.0N  69.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  89.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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