Hurricane WILMA

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HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
2100Z TUE OCT 18 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL
RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO CABO
CATOCHE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN  THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  81.5W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  81.5W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.3N  82.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.2N  83.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.1N  84.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.2N  85.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  81.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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