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Subtropical Depression TWENTY-TWO


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL222005
2100Z SAT OCT 08 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA TONIGHT.
 
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  60.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  60.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  60.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.1N  62.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.1N  65.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.9N  67.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.0N  69.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 36.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  60.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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