Hurricane RITA

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HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT
O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA
EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH
OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  88.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  907 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT.......100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 200SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  88.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.8N  89.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.9N  91.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.2N  93.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.0N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 34.5N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  88.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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