Hurricane RITA

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM...CCA
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11 CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
1500Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
...CORRECTION TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AND FROM GOLDEN BEACH ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST
SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AS
WELL AS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM DEERFIELD BEACH
FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  81.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE  60SE  60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  81.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  80.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.0N  83.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.3N  85.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.5N  88.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.0N  94.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.5N  96.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 33.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  81.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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