Tropical Storm RITA

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TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
2100Z MON SEP 19 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS MODIFIED WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR CUBA.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND
LA HABANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND
PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND WESTWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXUMAS AND FOR ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO
CHOKOLOSKEE....AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  76.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  76.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  75.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N  78.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.2N  80.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.6N  83.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.9N  85.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N  90.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 30.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  76.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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