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Hurricane PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
1500Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  57.2W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  57.2W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  57.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N  57.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.8N  58.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.0N  58.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 38.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  57.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
 
 
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