Hurricane PHILIPPE

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  57.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  57.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  57.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.7N  57.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N  58.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.2N  58.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 27.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 38.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  57.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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