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Hurricane PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
2100Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  57.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  57.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  57.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.8N  58.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 26.5N  59.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 37.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW. 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  57.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
 
 
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