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Tropical Storm PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
2100Z SUN SEP 18 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  55.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  55.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  55.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.7N  56.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.9N  58.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.1N  58.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  55.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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