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Tropical Storm PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
1500Z SUN SEP 18 2005
 
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
PHILIPPE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  55.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  55.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.0N  56.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.1N  57.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.2N  58.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.4N  58.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  55.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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