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Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
2100Z SAT SEP 17 2005
 
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DEPRESSION.  WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  55.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  55.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  54.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.6N  56.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.6N  57.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.6N  58.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.6N  59.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  55.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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