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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0900Z SAT SEP 17 2005
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
WEST OF WOODS HOLE TO WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE TO CAPE COD TO PLYMOUTH...INCLUDING
MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH EASTWARD TO
LUNENBURG.  ADDITIONALLY...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
TRURO WESTWARD TO NORTH OF YARMOUTH...AND FROM EAST OF LUNENBURG
EASTWARD TO SHEET HARBOUR.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  70.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  90SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  70.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  71.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.1N  67.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 45.4N  62.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 48.0N  56.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 49.6N  49.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 52.5N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 57.0N  19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 62.5N   7.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  70.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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