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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0900Z FRI SEP 16 2005
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO
LUNENBERG.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE
ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  74.8W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   0 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  74.8W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N  64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 48.5N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 52.0N  36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 54.0N  21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N  74.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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