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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCB
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z THU SEP 15 2005

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS IN WARNING AREA
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW
POINT COMFORT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH...
INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  75.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 175SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  75.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.1N  75.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.4N  74.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.7N  71.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.7N  67.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 46.5N  58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 49.5N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 53.0N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  75.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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