Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z SAT SEP 10 2005

...CORRECT 120 HR FROM INLAND TO OVER WATER...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  76.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 160SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  76.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  76.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 32.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 32.2N  76.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.0N  78.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 35.5N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.5N  73.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  76.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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