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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005

...CORRECTED 72 HOUR FORECAST INTENSITY TO 85 KT...
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  76.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  65SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  76.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  76.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.7N  76.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.9N  76.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 32.0N  77.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 32.3N  78.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 34.5N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 37.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  76.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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