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Hurricane KATRINA


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HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
1500Z SUN AUG 28 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  88.1W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  907 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 125SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  88.1W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  87.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.2N  88.9W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.1N  89.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.4N  89.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.5N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 40.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 45.0N  77.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 52.0N  69.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  88.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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